Obama's Convention Bounce

As expected Barack Obama’s convention bounce has arrived.

Democratic candidate Barack Obama has gained ground in the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking average from Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday, and now leads Republican John McCain among registered voters by a 48% to 42% margin.
The latest three-day Gallup Poll Daily tracking average (Aug. 25-27) is directly coincident with the first three days of the Democratic National Convention in Denver, and is no doubt beginning to reflect the typical convention “bounce” that Gallup has observed in most party conventions in recent decades. There is a lag of sorts involved in the daily tracking; interviewing is conducted in most parts of the country before that evening’s high-focus speeches have taken place. Thus, the current three-day average would reflect any impact of Monday night’s speech by Michelle Obama, and Tuesday night’s speech by Hillary Clinton, but would not completely reflect Wednesday night’s lineup of speakers, such as John Kerry, former President Bill Clinton, and vice presidential nominee Joe Biden, nor the appearance on stage at the end of the evening by Barack Obama himself.
Gallup’s interviewing for last Friday through Sunday, the last three days before the convention officially began, showed the race at a 45% to 45% tie. Thus, there is already a six percentage point bounce evident in the data, although the final “official” post-convention bounce used in comparison with other recent conventions will not be tabulated by Gallup until interviewing for Friday through Sunday is completed (reported next Monday on gallup.com).
Of keen interest this year will be the dynamics of the race in the forthcoming days, as John McCain, by all accounts, will attempt to pounce on the Democrats’ bounce by announcing his vice presidential running mate either Thursday night or Friday and with attention turning quickly to the Republican convention that is set to begin on Monday in St. Paul. Also in the mix this year will be an act of nature; if Tropical Storm Gustav becomes a hurricane and makes landfall on the U.S. Gulf Coast sometime on Tuesday, news coverage of the GOP convention will be diluted, and the impact of that situation (coming some three years after Hurricane Katrina) is impossible to predict.

The Graphs:

Of course, if you’re objective reporter, and not in the tank for Obama. (Unlike some) You would simply say that this is due to the Democratic Convention and because of Obama’s selection of white running mate, which has most likely reassured some of the more undecided voters.

As it says above, this coming hurricane could also cause the Republicans some serious issues. Especially if there is widespread damage. Hopefully, this won’t be the case, because I am truly looking forward to viewing this upcoming convention.

On the long term, I personally believe that these polls will even out and perhaps go more towards McCain, especially during the Republican Convention. This is unless a hurricane hits the coast hard.

Others: TownHall Blog, The Moderate Voice, www.redstate.com, Hot Air

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New McCain Ad nails Obama on the kneecaps. (or worse….)

(H/T to Ed over at HotAir.com)

The deadly quote in this entire Ad is:

You know, I am a believer in … in knowing what you’re doing when you apply for a job. Uh, and I think that … if I were seriously to consider running on a national ticket, I would essentially have to start now, before having served a day in the Senate. Now there may be some people who are comfortable doing that, but I am not one of those people. — Barack Obama, 2004

Ouch!

Now some would say that McCain’s team is using words from before his decision to run for President. Which is a fair criticism, however, for those paying attention to this whole race, this could do some serious damage.

Now personally, I think that this is classic Republican fear-mongering. It could work, and then again, it could backfire. Because the only thing that team Barry would have to do, is put out an ad reminding America that George W. Bush had intelligence warning about attacks from Al-Qaeda, and basically did nothing, and then tie McCain to Bush. That would be deadly. But would be very effective.

My advice to McCain is step very lightly on this subject, because it could come back to haunt you. Especially using the terrorist images.

Others Blogging:
The Corner, Dr. Melissa Clouthier, Althouse and Macsmind

Technorati Tags: Barack Obama, Conservative, Democrat, Democrats, Election ’08, Election 2008, John McCain, Liberal, Liberals, Libertarian, Neo-Conservatives, Obama, Opinion, Politics, Republican, Republicans, vote, voting

The Media accuses John McCain of being dishonest in his ads.

This is kind of an oddball story. Mainly, because the media, as always, is full of it and, as always, in the tank for Obama.

This comes via ABC NEWS:

We in the media have given a lot of airtime to the TV ads of Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., this week, starring as they do Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-NY.
There’s been evidence emerging that McCain’s campaign isn’t really running these ads anywhere, according to the Campaign Media Analysis Group.
“These were basically video press releases,” CMAG’s Evan Tracey tells the Wall Street Journal.
OK, so that’s kind of dishonest of the McCain campaign.
Today’s new McCain ad — “Tiny,” which you can watch HERE — crosses a new line into dishonesty, however, beyond whether or not it’s actually airing anywhere.

The Ad in question:

The script of the Ad:

“Iran. Radical Islamic government. Known sponsors of terrorism. Developing nuclear capabilities to ‘generate power’ but threatening to eliminate Israel.
“Obama says Iran is a ‘tiny’ country, ‘doesn’t pose a serious threat,'” the ad continues. “Terrorism, destroying Israel, those aren’t ‘serious threats’? Obama — dangerously unprepared to be president.”

Well, golly gosh gee… Here’s Obama’s Words, first in Video:

and in Print:

“strong countries and strong Presidents talk to their adversaries. That’s what Kennedy did with Khrushchev. That’s what Reagan did with Gorbachev. That’s what Nixon did with Mao. I mean think about it. Iran, Cuba, Venezuela — these countries are tiny compared to the Soviet Union. They don’t pose a serious threat to us the way the Soviet Union posed a threat to us. And yet we were willing to talk to the Soviet Union at the time when they were saying, ‘We’re going to wipe you off the planet.’
“And ultimately that direct engagement led to a series of measures that helped prevent nuclear war, and over time allowed the kind of opening that brought down the Berlin Wall,” Obama continued. “Now, that has to be the kind of approach that we take. You know, Iran, they spend one-one hundredth of what we spend on the military. If Iran ever tried to pose a serious threat to us, they wouldn’t stand a chance. And we should use that position of strength that we have to be bold enough to go ahead and listen. That doesn’t mean we agree with them on everything. We might not compromise on any issues, but at least we should find out other areas of potential common interest, and we can reduce some of the tensions that has caused us so many problems around the world.”

So, Where is the dishonesty again? I fail to see it. What more can we expect from a communist liberal media?

Others: Macsmind

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A movie that every American should watch, before voting

(H/T to AP at Hotair.com)

This movie, if it caught on in the Media would ruin Obama’s chances of being elected President.

Trailer 1:

Trailer 2:

Wow…. I don’t think Barry will have to worry about snipers. He’d better worry about this movie.

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So much for that Hillary speech!

So, you think that Hillary speech soothed all the wounds amongst the Hillary supporters? Well, that is what the Democratic Party wants you to think!

Turns out, it might not be exactly true.

That is because that the Washington Post is reporting the following:

Hillary Rodham Clinton’s most loyal delegates came to the Pepsi Center on Tuesday night looking for direction. They listened, rapt, to a 20-minute speech that many proclaimed the best she had ever delivered, hoping her words could somehow unwind a year of tension in the Democratic Party. But when Clinton stepped off the stage and the standing ovation faded into silence, many of her supporters were left with a sobering realization: Even a tremendous speech couldn’t erase their frustrations.
Despite Clinton’s plea for Democrats to unite, her delegates remained divided as to how they should proceed.
There was Jerry Straughan, a professor from California, who listened from his seat in the rafters and shook his head at what he considered the speech’s predictability. “It’s a tactic,” he said. “Who knows what she really thinks? With all the missteps that have taken place, this is the only thing she could do. So, yes, I’m still bitter.”
There was JoAnn Enos, from Minnesota, who digested Clinton’s resounding endorsement of Barack Obama and decided that she, too, will move on and get behind him. “I’ll vote for [Obama] in the roll call,” she said, “because that’s what Hillary wants.”

I hate to say it, but I kind of knew this was coming. As the saying goes, “Hell hath no fury, of that of a woman’s scorn.” In fact, yesterday, I was over at No Quarter. Which is a pro-Hillary Blog, (I know some have discredited Larry Johnson, but it is the best example…) and the comments section tells the story. It is just this simple, Hillary cannot control her delegates and supporters. She can suggest, she can plead, she can encourage, but she cannot force them, we live in a free and democratic society. Our people choose whom they want to represent them.

So, while it might sound nice that Hillary may have influenced her many supporters into to voting for Obama, this may just not be the case. It is nice to think that Hillary might have able to pull off the ultimate persuasion act, but I am afraid that just might not be the case.

The only way it will be known, as to the depth of that influence, will be in November at the many voting booths across America.

Technorati Tags: Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Democrat, Democrats, Election ’08, Election 2008, Hillary, Hillary Clinton, Liberal, Liberals, Media, News, Obama, Opinion, Politics, Women, vote, voting

So Much for the Biden Bounce eh?

I guess that Biden bounce kind of fell flat.

Via Gallup Poll:

It’s official: Barack Obama has received no bounce in voter support out of his selection of Sen. Joe Biden to be his vice presidential running mate.
Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Aug. 23-25, the first three-day period falling entirely after Obama’s Saturday morning vice presidential announcement, shows 46% of national registered voters backing John McCain and 44% supporting Obama, not appreciably different from the previous week’s standing for both candidates. This is the first time since Obama clinched the nomination in early June, though, that McCain has held any kind of advantage over Obama in Gallup Poll Daily tracking.

The Charts:

The margin of error is 2%

So, I guess it is going to take more than just some old white man to convince the rest the America that Obama is the man for the Presidency.

It is quite obvious that Obama is really going to have his work cut out for him. Now I know, of course, that the convention will provide a bump in his ratings in the polls, but this does show that people are not as easily swayed as people might have thought.

It very much looks that way.

Technorati Tags: Barack Obama, Democrat, Democrats, Election ’08, Election 2008, Liberal, Liberals, Obama, Opinion, Politics, Polls

Can the Clintons get over it? They should.

Video (via Politico):

Quote:

Hillary Rodham Clinton is over it — at least when people are watching.
Within days of losing the Democratic nomination to Barack Obama, her aides said she was all business, returning to her Senate duties, telling people she would do whatever Obama asked her to do in the general election.
Bill Clinton is not over it. He’s trying, his associates say. He’s slowly getting to a better place. But his resentments from the bitter campaign battles of last winter and spring are many and diverse, and people who have spent time with him recently said they fester just below the surface.

As I have Blogged before on here. Hillary Clinton has baggage, Lots of Baggage. Obama simply did not want that sort of stigma on his campaign. He knew, for a fact, that if he had Clinton his ticket, that the Far Right Wing of the Republican Party would attack him for it.

The Clinton’s issues with Barack Obama are:

Obama has taken the minimum public steps necessary to accommodate the Clintons, including giving them prime-time speaking spots.
But he has taken few of the extra steps that Clinton allies say would have gone miles toward fostering goodwill.
He did not work hard to help her retire her $24 million campaign debt.
He did not make a high-profile statement repudiating any suggestion that Bill Clinton played “the race card” in the nomination contest — an allegation that the former president considers grossly unfair and that continues to infuriate him.

Well, can you blame him? There were a TON of tepid, awful and down right nasty things that she did. Let’s review shall we?:

Clinton saying that she didn’t think that Obama was a Muslim, as far as she knew.

The Video:

Her very stupid comment about her staying in the race, in case Obama is assassinated.

The Video:

Which drew this fiery special comment from Keith Olbermann:

There are a many, many more, but I think this suffices.

So, quite frankly, Senator Clinton is owned nothing, she, in her self centered attempt to try and divide this party, all in the name of feminism and identity politics. She has brought this snub by Obama and his followers all upon herself, despite her attempt to spin this, she is the reason that this is happened to her.

The best advise I can give Senator Clinton is to address the convention, release her delegates and simply fade away and hope that she is able to salvage what little reputation that she has left. Because quite frankly, she is nothing more than a hindrance to that Democratic Party.

Until this happens, the Democratic Party will continue to be the divided Party that it is. Which will do nothing more, but put another Neo-Conservative in the White House.

Technorati Tags: Barack Obama, Democrat, Democrats, Election ’08, Election 2008, Hillary, Hillary Clinton, Liberal, Liberals, Libertarian, Obama, Opinion, Politics

My Thoughts on Michelle Onama's Speech

I think she nailed it. Yeah, I will confess, I liked the speech.

Sure, it was filled with the “Liberal Line”. Sure, it was filled with feminism. Sure, it was filled with Ideology. Sure, it was filled with identity politics.

But you know what? She won the night. Between her and Ted Kennedy’s speech, the first night got off to a good start.

The very end, with the video feed of Barack and the kids, well, being kids, was the best ending ever. It humanized the Obama’s, it made them look like real people. It seriously put a big dent in that whole line of them being limousine liberals, who are out of touch.

Women in audience last night were bawling, hell, I was almost bawling! 😉 😥 😛

Will it sway voters? That will be determined in November, and of course, there’s the polls.

Overall, it was a good start to a convention. I look forwarding to covering the rest. 😀

Others:
The Moderate Voice, The Daily Dish, The Corner, Althouse, Fox News, Sister Toldjah, Pajamas Media, National Review, The Huffington Post, TigerHawk, Betsy’s Page, AMERICAblog News, Marc Ambinder and Balloon Juice

Technorati Tags: Barack Obama, Democrats, Election ’08, Election 2008, Liberals, Obama, Opinion, Politics

Barack Obama Murder Plot undercovered by Denver Police, FBI Investigating.

Video Via CBS News:

Press Conference Video:

The Story: Investigators Look Into Possible Plot To Kill Obama (Via cbs4denver.com)

CBS4 has learned at least four people are under arrest in connection with a possible plot to kill Barack Obama at his Thursday night acceptance speech in Denver. All are being held on either drug or weapons charges.
CBS4 Investigator Brian Maass reported one of the suspects told authorities they were “going to shoot Obama from a high vantage point using a … rifle … sighted at 750 yards.”
Law enforcement sources tell Maass that one of the suspects “was directly asked if they had come to Denver to kill Obama. He responded in the affirmative.”

Like many others have said about this, so far, even though we do not agree with the Politics of the Democratic Party, this sort of nonsense is totally uncalled for. However, the MSM blew it. They’re reporting that this guys are White Supremacists. I checked on a well-known White Nationalist forum website, and they’re saying these guys are interlopers or something. Because most White Nationalists are against drug use, of any sort. In fact, they’re accusing of the DNC of staging this to cause the American people to vote for Obama out of pity. The DNC, I don’t buy, Hillary? Perhaps.

Seriously, This is quite sick, I hope that they put these losers behind bars for good.

Technorati Tags: Barack Obama, Democrat, Democrats, Election ’08, Election 2008, Law, Liberal, Liberals, News, Obama, Opinion, Politics, Stupidity, crime, justice

So Much for all that Democrat Party Unity…..

According to Hillary, everything is just okie dokie, hope change and all that:

“Every one of us could stand up and recite all the reasons why we must elect Barack. The Supreme Court is at stake; our educational system needs the right kind of change. We’ve got to become energy independent; we have to create millions of new green collar jobs. We’ve got so much work to do around the world."
"None of that will happen if John McCain is in the White House. I just want to make it absolutely clear we cannot afford four more years of George W. Bush’s failed policies in America and that’s what we would get with John McCain."

However, The Washington Post reports:

A number of Sen. Hillary Clinton’s top advisers will not be staying in Denver long enough to hear Barack Obama accept the nomination for
president, according to sources familiar with their schedules.
Clinton will deliver her speech Tuesday night. She will hold a private meeting with her top financial supporters Wednesday at noon, and will
thank her delegates at an event that afternoon. Former president Bill Clinton will speak that night. Several of Hillary Clinton’s supporters
are then planning to leave town. Among them, Terry McAuliffe, Clinton’s campaign chairman, and longtime supporters Steve Rattner and Maureen
White. Another of Clinton’s top New York fundraisers, Alan Patricof, did not make the trip to Denver.
Robert Zimmerman, a Clinton supporter who is trying now to navigate between the two camps, will be staying for Obama’s speech. But he said
in an interview that it would be unrealistic to expect there would not still be some tension between the two camps — he noted that the same
was true with supporters of Gary Hart and, to a lesser extent, Howard Dean.
"This convention provides a very important opportunity for the Obama campaign to bond with the constituencies that supported Hillary Clinton," Zimmerman said. "It’s not about Barack or Hillary. It’s about bringing in the people here who voted for Hillary Rodham Clinton. Senator Obama and Senator Biden are, without question, qualified to do that."

While the words of the Democratic Party might be Hope, Change and Unity. Their actions say a totally different story. Which is sad. I feel that if you are going to say something, mean it. Don’t say something and mean something else. It is hypocritical.

Others: :
Power Line, MSNBC, Flopping Aces, Political Machine, Hot Air and michellemalkin.com

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